Thanks for your detailed feedback, Matsunoki! I really appreciate your reply, and your observations are quite sharp.
However, I respectfully hold a different perspective on several points:
The dark areas near the claws are not black paint. The design likely uses shakudo inlays alongside mercury gilding. If gilding was selectively applied and missed tiny corners, those un-gilded shakudo areas would naturally turn dark during the boiling process (煮色), creating that exact appearance. As for the "clumsy" feelers and scales, this can simply be attributed to the work of a lower-tier provincial craftsman or a less refined workshop, rather than being proof of modern production.
I've uploaded a few more photos below. A reliable way to spot modern cast pieces is to check the tenjo-gane (天井板). Modern reproductions rely on chemical blackening agents, whereas this piece retains a natural, traditional boiled copper (素銅煮色) color. I've also attached photos of a known modern cast tsuba and a complete matching set that you referenced in your linked thread. Cast pieces look very stiff and rigid in comparison.